Seminar: Quantifying the impact of prevention using multistate lifetable simulation models

Seminar

Thursday, 26 September 2019
Time: 
9.30-10.30am
Ella Latham Theatre
50 Flemington Road Parkville @ Royal Children's Hospital

 Professor Tony Blakely is an epidemiologist and public health medicine specialist who also strays into economics and big data. Since completing his PhD in 2001, he has been focusing on answers to public health research questions requiring the innovative application of methods from many disciplines.  In his time at the University of Otago NZ (1998 to 2019) he pioneered the linkage of census and mortality data, and led research programs on health inequalities and quantifying intervention health impacts.  In 2019 he took up a full-time position at the University of Melbourne where he has established the Population Interventions Unit.

This seminar will focus on simulating the impact of public health interventions, for example, sugar taxes and screening programs, on future gains such as health adjusted life years and cost impacts. In particular, we will discuss:

a. The rationale for WHY to do it;

b. HOW to do it, including multistate lifetable methods and the data inputs and outputs; and

c. The impact of assumptions about the structure of the MODEL, for example, future changes (or not) in tobacco prevalence and time lags (or not) from quitting to reduced health harm.

 

 

 

Prof. Tony Blakely

University of Melbourne

Professor Tony Blakely is an epidemiologist and public health medicine specialist who also strays into economics and big data. Since completing his PhD in 2001, he has been focusing on answers to public health research questions requiring the innovative application of methods from many disciplines.  In his time at the University of Otago NZ (1998 to 2019) he pioneered the linkage of census and mortality data, and led research programs on health inequalities and quantifying intervention health impacts.  In 2019 he took up a full-time position at the University of Melbourne where he has established the Population Interventions Unit.